Alright - if I suggest this topic I guess I also have to attempt the first guess.
My bet is on 24 sites in and 20 out.
In: Mauritius, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, one of the Chinese sites (I don't know which), DPRK, Indonesia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Papua, Vanuato, Canada, France (only New Caledonia), Hungary-Slovakia, Iceland, Italy (only the Phlegrean Area), San Marino, Switzerland/Italy, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico (only butterfly reserve), India, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan.
Out: one Chinese site, Japan, Malasia, Bulgaria, Czech Rep, Israel (both), Switzerland, Germany, France (Vaubon), Croatia, Italy (Mantua), Slovakia, UK, Russia, Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua, Mexico (the Christian site), Cambodia
Extensions: all three approved (India, Spain, Albania)
It would be interesting to check these lists in two weeks.